Pessimistic Sentiment Eases, Iron Ore Prices Rebound [SMM Brief Commentary]

Published: Jan 9, 2025 17:05
Today, DCE iron ore futures opened lower but moved higher throughout the day, fluctuating upward. The most-traded I2505 contract finally closed at 754.5 yuan/mt, up 0.53% for the day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm for selling. Steel mills purchased as needed. Today's market transactions were moderate. Transaction prices rose by 5-10 yuan/mt compared to yesterday. The total inventory of the five major steel products in Tangshan continued to see a slight inventory buildup. The apparent demand for rebar and HRC continued to decline, in line with the seasonal pattern. Additionally, with the recent release of pessimistic sentiment, market sentiment slightly improved. Coupled with a recent improvement in iron ore demand, ore prices rebounded somewhat. Considering that the fundamentals are still expected to weaken, ore prices are unlikely to see a significant increase this week and are expected to fluctuate at low levels.

》Check SMM Steel Product Prices, Data, and Market Analysis

》Subscribe to View SMM Historical Spot Metal Prices

Today, DCE iron ore futures opened lower but closed higher, fluctuating upward throughout the day. The most-traded I2505 contract finally settled at 754.5 yuan/mt, up 0.53% for the day. Traders showed moderate enthusiasm for selling, while steel mills purchased as needed. Today's market transactions were moderate. In Shandong, the mainstream transaction prices of PB fines were around 760 yuan/mt, up by 5-10 yuan/mt compared to yesterday. In Tangshan, PB fines were traded at 775 yuan/mt, also up by 5-10 yuan/mt from yesterday. Today's industrial data continued to weaken. The total inventory of the five major steel products saw a slight inventory buildup. Apparent demand for rebar and HRC continued to decline, in line with the seasonal pattern. Additionally, with the recent release of pessimistic sentiment, market sentiment slightly improved. Coupled with a recent improvement in iron ore demand, ore prices rebounded. Considering the fundamentals are still expected to weaken, ore prices are unlikely to see a significant increase this week and are expected to fluctuate at low levels.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Analysis] Steel Export Review: Geopolitical Conflicts Trigger the Reshaping of the Export Landscape
3 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Steel Export Review: Geopolitical Conflicts Trigger the Reshaping of the Export Landscape
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Steel Export Review: Geopolitical Conflicts Trigger the Reshaping of the Export Landscape
[SMM Analysis] Steel Export Review: Geopolitical Conflicts Trigger the Reshaping of the Export Landscape
3 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (March 30)
4 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (March 30)
Read More
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (March 30)
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (March 30)
Today, iron ore prices opened higher but showed a volatile weakening trend during the session. The main contract I2605 closed at 813 yuan/ton, up 0.06% from the previous trading session. Spot prices remained largely stable compared to the previous trading day.
4 hours ago
[China Iron Ore Brief Review] Iron Ore Concentrate Prices in Shandong May Continue to Fluctuate
4 hours ago
[China Iron Ore Brief Review] Iron Ore Concentrate Prices in Shandong May Continue to Fluctuate
Read More
[China Iron Ore Brief Review] Iron Ore Concentrate Prices in Shandong May Continue to Fluctuate
[China Iron Ore Brief Review] Iron Ore Concentrate Prices in Shandong May Continue to Fluctuate
[China Iron Ore Brief Review: Iron Ore Concentrate Prices in Shandong May Continue to Fluctuate] In Shandong, the pre-tax dry-basis price of 64-grade alkaline iron ore concentrates at mines and beneficiation plants fell by 5 yuan to 894 yuan, while steel mills also lowered prices in tandem. Most miners maintained normal production, inventory accumulation was not obvious, and most basically had no inventory. Steel mills’ purchases under long-term contracts remained unchanged, with most purchasing as needed and maintaining low inventory operations. On the news front, external market disruptions have not eased, and imported ore prices have remained at a relatively high level, which may provide some support for domestic iron ore
4 hours ago
Pessimistic Sentiment Eases, Iron Ore Prices Rebound [SMM Brief Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)